BREAKING: Trump Just Ordered MASSIVE Rate Cuts In 2025 – Huge Pivot Ahead!

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THE FEDERAL RESERVE:
Their priority, over anything else, is to make sure that the United States has a strong labor market, maintains maximum levels of employment, and operates in such a way that keeps pricing stable. What makes this unique is that The Federal Reserve is an INDEPENDENT agency, meaning they’re not at the whims of political pressure when making policy decisions. Their decisions do not need approval from anyone in Congress.

THE INTEREST RATE DEBATE:
Over the last 5 years, the United States has spent (and borrowed) an unsustainable amount of money. When interest rates are near 0%, making those payments is easy. But, when interest rates rise to recent record highs, all of a sudden it becomes quite expensive to maintain.

LOWERING RATES:
-Wholesale Inflation Is Going Down
This is what’s known as “The Producer Price Index,” or what businesses pay for the cost of materials, that eventually gets passed on to the consumer. Llast month – there was no increase, whatsoever, suggesting that inflation isn’t getting worse in spite of tariff concerns.

-Rate Cuts Would Save The Government Almost $1 Trillion Per Year
In this case, our interest rates have a direct impact on what we pay for the national debt – so, lower rates would equate to a substantial savings.

-For the last year – inflation has pretty much bottomed out.
Inflation has remained below 3% for the last 12 months. Even though we’ve seen a bit of an increase recently, in the big picture, it’s really not that bad.

RAISING RATES:
-Inflation Is Increasing Again
Inflation rose 0.3% month-over-month, which – if that continues – would put inflation back above 3%.

-The Labor Market Is Still REALLY Strong
Typically, the Federal Reserve lowers rates in response to a spike in unemployment, but that’s currently near a record low.

-Tariff Concerns.
Jerome Powell said it himself: they would have cut rates, but tariff uncertainty is putting them on edge.

-Political Pressures Don’t Seem To Work On Jerome Powell.
Trump tried a similar strategy back in 2018, and Jerome Powell never budged.

FIRING JEROME POWELL:
By law, a President has the right to remove the Federal Reserve Board Members “For Cause,” which is generally interpreted as an inefficiency, neglect of duty, or malfeasance. HOWEVER, the law is unclear whether “For Cause” firings apply to the chair of the Federal Reserve. From Powell’s perspective, he’s openly said that Trump is not permitted to fire him “under law,” and – more recently, The Supreme Court said: “the relationship between the president and the Federal Reserve is different from that of other independent agencies, signaling that Chair Jerome Powell is legally protected from being removed by President Donald Trump.”

FORCED RESIGNATION:
In theory, Trump could make Jerome Powell’s life so difficult that he voluntarily gives up his position, in favor or someone else that Trump appoints. This is why Trump is beginning to accuse Jerome Powell of “mismanaging the U.S. central bank’s $2.5 billion renovation project."

MARKET SELLOFF:
It’s largely believed that if the Federal Reserve gives the appearance of losing their independence, it would undermine America’s financial markets, it would cause treasury rates to spike back up, and the stock market would begin to sell off from a unprecedented uncertainty.

In this case, if the Federal Reserve is seen as “politicized,” investors will demand a higher risk premium on US Treasuries (after all, the United States Federal Reserve will no longer be seen as an independent entity, and lowering interest rates would undermine the long term safety of the market). Not to mention, if there’s too much “easy money,” the dollar would further be devalued, leading to a sell off of US Currency.

Personally, I think it’s obvious that Trump is the type of person to openly test the waters by throwing out statements – seeing how the market reacts – and then making a decision from there.

00:00- Intro
01:18 – Raising vs Lowering Rates
06:12 – Protect Your Information
08:00 – Firing Jerome Powell
09:14 – Powell Resigning
10:53 – Market Selloff
12:12 – What Will Likely Happen

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*Some of the links and other products that appear on this video are from companies which Graham Stephan will earn an affiliate commission or referral bonus. Graham Stephan is part of an affiliate network and receives compensation for sending traffic to partner sites. The content in this video is accurate as of the posting date. Some of the offers mentioned may no longer be available. This is not investment advice.

Mano Kamgang
 

  • @GrahamStephan says:

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  • @cowetareserve says:

    Thanks for the consistent clear breakdowns. This is refreshing to see just objective facts for a bit.

  • @ZachAlberti says:

    Nobody breaks it down like Graham it’s like getting a finance degree for free. Been applying his advice and tracking my progress publicly… it’s wild how fast things shift when you commit.

  • @brandonclark2170 says:

    Lowering interest rates is something you don’t stimulate growth, the opposite of what you should do when dealing with inflation. The Tariff policy and implementation is adding to inflation and preventing the lowering of rates. You can’t have it both ways.

  • @nervfr1 says:

    So trump is just rage baiting everyone

    • @GrahamStephan says:

      Basically, seems like he’s testing waters to see what people would / would not support.

    • @Simplyput3451 says:

      ​@GrahamStephan we elect politicians who should be looking out for our best interest.

    • @elevatormechanic7120 says:

      @@GrahamStephan I thought he could fire the FED chair, but he would have to show some kind of cause it was legitimate.

  • @Godseagle7 says:

    Trump literally appointed Powell in his first term

  • @ryen7512 says:

    The interest rate being around 4% is not high. In the event rates are cut we will have a roaring economy and roaring inflation followed by an epic crash…same story repeats itself every time.

    • @rn87mom94 says:

      Exactly. People just got used to very cheap money. Those days are gone for now.
      Rates were sky high in the 80s yet the economy grew.

    • @JohnWick-i7j says:

      We slashed taxes from 70% in the top tax bracket. It’s not the same thing. The 80s are gone and Regan’s ideas didn’t work. The only thing trickling down is piss

    • @starspaceschool587 says:

      @@rn87mom94 The US can’t afford expensive money. We spend $1T a year on interest, if rates matched in the 80’s the entire tax revenue for the year would go to just interest.

    • @JoshuaCarr says:

      Spending before was never like it is now

    • @Jokershadow696 says:

      Trump need to refinance around 5 trillion debt, he need to pay out this summer. Anything more than 0-2% interest rate collapses US permanently.

  • @JacobBailey-k2k says:

    He is trying to take the heat off the LIST. Release the list(unaltered) and we’ll let all the creeps fall which will take care of Trumpy

  • @wjmummert says:

    5:22 Unemployment isn’t actually as low as it appears. There is no hiring, thus frustrated job seekers are not counted in the numbers. Layoffs are coming as the labor market further weakens. Consumer spending is down as people brace for this. Corps have essentially eaten or deferred tariff costs due to weak demand, but they won’t for long. They’ll either pass on the cost and watch sales fall, or, more likely, lay off workers to save money.

    • @EdLee-r6k says:

      correct, it just reports people activly looking for work that are currently unemployed.
      it doesnt represent people that are underemployed, people working a minimum wage job while they are trying to get hired in their field, it doesnt show people that have given up looking…it cretainly does not represent the correct ammount of people that are employed in a full time job earning a living wage. the number is really a joke

    • @localguides8653 says:

      ​@@EdLee-r6kthe most not funny joke ever

    • @priestesslucy says:

      Yeah if you include under-employment we’re over 20% unemployed

      Frankly we might be close to 20% just plain not working.

      Trumplioni or the people under him thinks applying work requirements for SNAP and Medicaid more broadly will make people work more… But the work that pays just isn’t there.

    • @airongmc6810 says:

      20% is ridiculous​@@priestesslucy

  • @fearfactor2553 says:

    Jerome Powell has balls to protect the US Dollar against corrupt politicians. Wish him the best.

    • @GrahamStephan says:

      we’ll see what happens!

    • @localguides8653 says:

      Double-digit rates or right into hyperinflation we go

    • @greglane501 says:

      Trump will just appoint a puppet next year and re-rees will still cry about DEI while the guy he picks will likely be half as qualified as Powell.

    • @Landad_ says:

      Brother the US dollar has had 0 protection in decades

    • @atanorio says:

      Didn’t Jerome Powell also cut interest rates multiple times before Biden’s term ended with false job growth reports? Where they falsified an additional 400,000 jobs that never existed, just to make the economy look good and lower interests?

  • @Nht375 says:

    The market would skyrocket if Jerome is fired

    • @Jojoswhack says:

      Momentarily before inflation starts to skyrocket again. But it end there’s no saving the dollar unless of course they stop printing it and get debt under control and start paying it down.

  • @paul14ify says:

    Wages aren’t going as expected. A recession is needed to heal from greed

  • @GardenDownSouth says:

    your imitation of Jerome Powell at 5:55 was SPOT ON

  • @vanesslifeygo says:

    Epstein Files. Now.

  • @With2sULose says:

    The issue isn’t the rate, it’s the TRILLION dollars of interest we pay each year on the debt.

    We’re far to gone at this point

  • @kevinfrk says:

    Great video Graham! You always do a terrific job of breaking things down! I respect the time you put into your videos.

  • @JaredFarrer says:

    The president cannot fire the fed chair don’t be a moron

  • @Twbrooks509 says:

    You give Trump too much credit for having a “strategy”

  • @mikezurawski says:

    Graham and a coin toss are equally correct on the future of the stock market.

  • @Dave-zl2ky says:

    Trump’s understanding of economies and markets is almost zero. He gives us examples almost every day.

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