This ‘ALWAYS’ Happens Before A Market Crash

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  • @GrahamStephan says:

    -Here is a link containing the source material for each piece of research cited. I do my best to make my videos as accurate as I can, and the additional resources should help anyone who wants to look into them further – enjoy! https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/188HHHovM-cm_XRM9PSEI0wjvxkqnUSsOuGqCnDHwntA/edit?usp=sharing
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    • @rharnevious says:

      Ok

    • @KN772-Blue says:

      Looks to me, if you’re worried about a bubble, like you should stop dollar cost averaging. And instead saves up your money for up to 18 months. And when the market looks too frothy, sell 10% to 20% and wait up to a year. If all is a okay, dollar cost average the money you accumulated back into BRK-B, within 6 to 8 months. That will give you tremendous security and most of your money is still invested. If the market crash, DCA into FNGU during the recovery( 25% up from the low).

    • @chrismartin4357 says:

      Are you concerned by dollar cost averaging? If you were isolated in this approach, it makes sense. However more than 50% on inflows into the market are passive. Changes in behaviour like investment approach mean historical results are less relevant and it’s pretty concerning more than half of inflows don’t care about price

    • @PACMAN84RE says:

      Thank you. 🙏

  • @louisianabeast says:

    Still liking. Hope you doing well man.

  • @Asembraproduction says:

    Uncertain times, no one really knows what will happen. we’ll see what happens

  • @paulaxel8035 says:

    Maybe today is the day, Graham will suggest putting all my money on Red at roulette instead of dollar cost averaging into the S&P500?

  • @thetruth2599 says:

    30 seconds in and I would guess it ends with you saying everyone should continue to buy and dollar cost average?

  • @consumerdirect9535 says:

    yes the hard recession is going to happen next year. it’s gonna be bad everyone, save your money

    • @StefWeldz says:

      I’m thinking the same thing. I got some good profits and low cost averages on my positions. I’m just stacking cash until I see a major pullback. When Everyone is buying I sit. When everyone is panic selling I buy.

  • @Chadollingerbfr_stratbizmang says:

    This video absolutely nails the emotional cycle of a bull market leading into a potential correction. The ‘borrowed time’ sentiment, coupled with anecdotes about friends and family suddenly getting into investing, always feels like a reliable, albeit anecdotal, indicator of market froth. It’s not about predicting the when, but understanding the psychology at play. Always appreciate the grounded perspective you bring, Graham.
    Travis Wagner, Mi AI Business Solutions

  • @trevordoeseverything219 says:

    10seconds into the video. im predicting Graham will pull up a bunch of alarming and conflicting headlines/statistics then just end it by saying something about “don’t worry, just dollar cost average into the market” 😭😭

  • @DNaupari says:

    Market is crashing
    Graham: dollar cost average

    The new Great Depression
    Graham: dollar cost average

    We’re being invaded by aliens
    Graham: dollar cost average

  • @aldenhagel5082 says:

    No one cares about current P/e. Forward p/e for on Nvidia is 28. Not crazy. If earnings slow down maybe get worried. There were no earnings in the 2001 tech bubble. That was why the Dow and the S and P barely moved the Nasdaq was clearly a bubble compared to everything else. Right now we are in a global currency devaluation. Everything is increasing

    • @Particle_Ghost says:

      True but the big cats will pull tons out the market from time to time.

    • @mryellow6918 says:

      Even then, don’t worry the company isn’t going anywhere and it ran very well regardless of recent events.

    • @estebanpercussion says:

      But earnings are circular…. NVDA makes a deal with Open AI, Open AI makes deal with AMD, AMD makes deal with Microsoft, Microsoft makes deal with NVDA, Open AI makes deal with google bla bla bla, on and on it goes, after a while do the earnings really mean anything? Here is my dilemma, as earnings gave me comfort. Not so much anymore as you just see all the big players passing the same money around. It’s like that video of the 3 stooges passing the same buck around between them saying “I owe you” over and over again.

    • @Peglegkickboxer says:

      There are no slower earnings on big silicon companies like Nvidia/AMD. They have like 2-3 huge clients who are rich enough to build huge data centers, and when they stop buying those silicon companies, they will have their earnings totally crash. This is why Nvidia is a scary investment as there is no warning. High risk but high reward.

    • @mryellow6918 says:

      @@Peglegkickboxer what risk tho? what are we gonna do? just not have computers.

  • @NumadDude says:

    Im more confused now.Thank you Graham.

  • @niq6531 says:

    I’ve been worried about a bubble since 2019. And it just keeps going up up up. At this point I’m just gonna keep riding the roller coaster and whatever happens happens.

    • @cre8gnr8nrg says:

      2012 for me. lol

    • @Sant270 says:

      Graham has been predicting a recession since I started watching him in 2022

    • @cavy95 says:

      Me too🎉

    • @TheBorderHoppr says:

      theres been like 2-3 bear markets since then and even more corrections but yeah it does keep going up

    • @TravisBoodram says:

      Im thinking theres two schools of thought theres the fundamentals which havent made sense in a long time, so everyones been predicting a crash. Thing is nobody can ever time a crash people will do as that and pour in because of FOMO and the market rallies until it doesnt and a crash comes. No point in timing the market and theres the whole “be greedy when others are fearful and fearful when others are greedy” where we are today is hard to say so the best plan is probably hedge your risks and diversify some of your bull run gains into defensive stocks or assets as well for your own risk tolerance.

  • @PfahlertGiordano says:

    XA53P is the real winner 2025

    • @alexxlea2516 says:

      Excuse my ignorance but how does something become the winner of the 2025 when it hasn’t been out for 24 hours and hasn’t produced any investment money in return?

  • @kojoorgle1599 says:

    Graham every video: market is crashing

  • @xiphoid2011 says:

    I’m old enough to remember when everyone thought the stock market was overvalued in 2017, and 2018, and 2019 and every year since. The problem is if you pulled out you would have stayed poor.

  • @PACMAN84RE says:

    This is one of your best videos my friend. Damn good job. 👏 Much appreciated sir

  • @yuhsin2006 says:

    “The world is ending and dollars are nearly $0 value, $1M USD is now 1000 yen but you should stick to the plan and dollar cost avg and you’ll be fine”

  • @RuiMorrreno says:

    When the inaugural mevstake payouts landed they read like a joke-yet they keep rolling in day after day.

  • @MoriceRaible says:

    Depends on your finances . 1000$ in XA53P is 4000 XA53P if it goes to 50% of ath in 2025 thats a 600% gain. If it goes equal to ath . Its a 1200% gain.

  • @NatalyPrince-w9o says:

    Thanks for the update! I’m holding and buying more XA53P! XA53P is the sleeping dragon in this run and its about to wake up.

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